Pin It
Favorite

Corralling the Candidates 

Wading through four more hopefuls seeking the GOP nomination

With Gov. Scott Walker's announcement this week, fifteen Republican presidential candidates have declared. Expect more entrants to emerge. Having assessed the bleak chances of four repeat performers last week, let's examine four other Republican entrants: Ben Carson, George Pataki, Bobby Jindal and Rand Paul. Three of them are accomplished politicians and all have achieved success, but none, in my analysis, will secure the nomination. Here's why: They'll be unable to raise the massive money necessary to compete for the nomination, or they'll be co-opted on their favorite issues by other well-funded or more popular candidates.

click to enlarge nethercutt.jpg

BEN CARSON is a world-famous surgeon. Soft-spoken, yet firmly committed to conservative values, Carson lacks any kind of track record in government. Never having been elected to public office is a detriment for his candidacy. While possessed of thoughtful and cogent policy ideas, he lacks a defined purpose for his nomination. An expert in health care, Carson's anti-Obamacare views are echoed by other candidates, so his expertise can't define him in a winnable way.

GEORGE PATAKI was elected governor of New York in 1994 as a long-shot candidate, defeating a powerful Mario Cuomo. He served three terms and saw New York through the tragedy of 9/11. Because he won as an unknown in 1994, he's convinced that being a long-shot in 2016 will bring him similar success. He's wrong. Pataki won't be able to raise funds necessary to compete long-term, so he'll likely say "so long" early in the process. Pataki is a fine person with an impressive list of Republican accomplishments in a deep blue state, but a lot has changed in politics since he served in public office. Those changes will not benefit Pataki.

BOBBY JINDAL lost the race for Louisiana governor in 2003, was elected to the U.S. House of Representatives in 2004 and was reelected in 2006. In 2007 Jindal was elected Louisiana governor; he was reelected in 2011. At 44, he's the youngest of all the candidates. If elected president, he would be the first person of Indian heritage to serve. Jindal has achieved remarkable political success in America. He delivered, to tepid response, the Republican reply to President Obama's State of the Union address in 2009. Though highly educated, very bright and experienced for his age, his strict, anti-government message likely will not wear well in today's political environment, especially since Jindal faces several nagging challenges in Louisiana, making his candidacy a long shot.

RAND PAUL was elected to the U.S. Senate from Kentucky in 2010. Basically a libertarian, his views have been popular in some anti-government circles, but he's been criticized by other Republicans for his perceived reluctance to support an aggressive military presence around the world. An ophthalmologist by background and training, Paul rose to political prominence opposing big government, decrying the American tax system and bearing the last name of perhaps the most prominent libertarian politician in America — his father, former Texas congressman Ron Paul, who himself sought the presidency in 2008 and 2012.

Though intelligent and well-spoken, Paul is tainted by the libertarian moniker, perceived as too tolerant of behaviors thought by some to be aberrant, as he often adopts a "no-government" approach to policy matters. While that may attract some voters, it's doubtful that Paul can capture a broad-based constituency for his presidential aspirations. While Paul touts raising just over a million dollars in the second quarter of 2015, he has miles to go in the 2016 presidential sweepstakes and likely won't last. He'll probably be reelected to the Senate after he fails to secure the Republican nomination.

Anyone who becomes a candidate for president deserves congratulations for his or her courage and energy. The campaign may actually be tougher than the presidency: having every word parsed by opponents and press outlets, needing to be cheerful to and tolerant of citizens who aren't always respectful nor articulate, and having one's history, finances, every prior utterance and action scrutinized to death. We owe all candidates, whatever our preferred party affiliation or political bent, gratitude for presenting themselves as candidates for the most important public policy position in the world. Yes, there are benefits to the presidency, and we need our best people running, but we all need to understand what it takes to run, win and then govern effectively.

Now eight candidates have been eliminated, by my calculations, leaving three U.S. Senators and a former business executive, among others, with Ohio Gov. John Kasich expected to announce soon. Stay tuned for more predictions in my August column. ♦

Tags:

  • Pin It

Latest in Comment

  • This Isn't Normal
  • This Isn't Normal

    America has gone down this road before, and it's a dead end
    • Dec 1, 2016
  • Incendiary Words
  • Incendiary Words

    Trail Mix: Trump's gifts to civics teachers everywhere
    • Dec 1, 2016
  • Fake-News Nightmare
  • Fake-News Nightmare

    The social media dream of the 2000s is fading, but we can reset the system by sticking up for the truth
    • Dec 1, 2016
  • More »

Comments

Subscribe to this thread:

Add a comment

Today | Thu | Fri | Sat | Sun | Mon | Tue
Lost Egypt: Ancient Secrets, Modern Science

Lost Egypt: Ancient Secrets, Modern Science @ Northwest Museum of Arts & Culture

Tuesdays-Sundays. Continues through Jan. 6

All of today's events | Staff Picks

More by George Nethercutt

  • Level the Field
  • Level the Field

    Our political parties need to adopt new changes to give challengers a better chance at getting elected
    • Nov 10, 2016
  • Puppy Love
  • Puppy Love

    Burned out by politics? Winston and his kind can help
    • Sep 8, 2016
  • More »

Most Commented On

  • Unfinished Business

    Isaiah Wall wants to get his life on track. But first, he's gotta buy drugs for the police
    • Nov 17, 2016
  • This Isn't Normal

    America has gone down this road before, and it's a dead end
    • Dec 1, 2016
  • More »

Top Tags in
News & Comment

Briefs


green zone


marijuana


trail mix


Comment


Readers also liked…

  • To Kill the Black Snake
  • To Kill the Black Snake

    Historic all-tribes protest at Standing Rock is meant to stop the destruction of the earth for all
    • Sep 8, 2016
  • Experiments Gone Wrong
  • Experiments Gone Wrong

    The roots of frustration that led to last month's teacher walkouts run much deeper than class sizes
    • Jun 3, 2015

© 2016 Inlander
Website powered by Foundation