Pin It
Favorite

If We Voted Today... 

Trail Mix: Polls, emails and Trump's Putin man-crush

click to enlarge Did Russia have a hand in the Democratic National Committee email leak?
  • Did Russia have a hand in the Democratic National Committee email leak?

Blaming Russia

If you're a DONALD TRUMP supporter, the WikiLeaks release of tens of thousands of emails, and the subsequent resignation of Democratic National Committee chairwoman Debbie Wasserman Schultz just before the Democratic National Convention, was perfectly timed.

Suspiciously so, some might say.

The leaks revealed how members of the DNC attempted to undermine Vermont Sen. BERNIE SANDERS' campaign as HILLARY CLINTON came closer to winning the nomination, stoking anger among Sanders delegates at the convention.

Clinton's campaign has said the leaks were the work of Russians hacking the DNC, intent on helping Trump win the election. Trump said last week that as president, he might not back NATO nations if they came under attack from Russia, and has made other positive comments about Russian President Vladimir Putin. While proving the exact source of the hack may take more time, investigators have found that the DNC was breached by two Russian intelligence agencies. Whether or not Putin had any involvement in directing these hacks, however, is unclear.

Clinton has criticized Trump for his favorable comments about Putin, suggesting that he would go soft on potentially confronting Russia, if necessary. Trump's campaign manager has called accusations of ties between the Republican presidential nominee and Putin "absurd." (WILSON CRISCIONE)

POLL-ARIZED

If the general election were held, like, right now, DONALD TRUMP would become the next president of the United States, according to political analyst and statistician Nate Silver's latest forecast. (Silver founded the data news site FiveThirtyEight, and accurately predicted the outcome of the 2008 and 2012 presidential elections.)

One of Silver's metrics known as "now-cast," which predicts what might happen if the election were held today, has Trump's chance of winning at 54.2 percent to Hillary Clinton's 45.8 percent.

It's important to note that political analysts often caution against reading too much into polls surrounding party conventions, as candidates typically receive a "bounce" that can artificially skew the numbers. A New York Times analysis shows that polling numbers dating back to 1980 have been off by about 7.5 percentage points this far ahead of the election. Eventually, as the election nears, the numbers become more accurate. The Times analysis, which penalizes polls surrounding the convention, gives Clinton a 68 percent chance of winning in November. Still, it's difficult to credit a convention bounce for Trump's lead, as he was already gaining on Clinton heading into the conventions. (MITCH RYALS)

  • Pin It

Speaking of Election 2016, trail Mix

  • OK, Hold Your Nose
  • OK, Hold Your Nose

    Everything you need to know before Election Day
    • Sep 22, 2016
  • Base of Support
  • Base of Support

    Polling local leaders and opinion-makers about presidential politics
    • Sep 22, 2016
  • Don's Ultimate Con
  • Don's Ultimate Con

    Trail Mix: Trump's birther problems and Johnson's polls
    • Sep 22, 2016
  • More »

Latest in Comment

  • Class Act
  • Class Act

    Seeing through money differences can build relationships focused on fairness
    • Sep 22, 2016
  • Don's Ultimate Con
  • Don's Ultimate Con

    Trail Mix: Trump's birther problems and Johnson's polls
    • Sep 22, 2016
  • Transparent Motives
  • Transparent Motives

    One candidate's an open book; the other is shrouded in secrecy. Guess which one isn't transparent enough
    • Sep 22, 2016
  • More »

Comments (2)

Showing 1-2 of 2

Add a comment

 
Subscribe to this thread:
Showing 1-2 of 2

Add a comment

Today | Wed | Thu | Fri | Sat | Sun | Mon
Lost Egypt: Ancient Secrets, Modern Science

Lost Egypt: Ancient Secrets, Modern Science @ Northwest Museum of Arts & Culture

Tuesdays-Sundays. Continues through Jan. 6

All of today's events | Staff Picks

More by Mitch Ryals

More by Wilson Criscione

Most Commented On

  • To Kill the Black Snake

    Historic all-tribes protest at Standing Rock is meant to stop the destruction of the earth for all
    • Sep 8, 2016
  • Murrow's Nightmare

    Debate moderators need to be much more than an onstage prop to make our democracy work
    • Sep 15, 2016
  • More »

Top Tags in
News & Comment

election 2016


trail mix


BRIEFS


green zone


marijuana


Readers also liked…

  • To Kill the Black Snake
  • To Kill the Black Snake

    Historic all-tribes protest at Standing Rock is meant to stop the destruction of the earth for all
    • Sep 8, 2016
  • Bowe's Aim
  • Bowe's Aim

    As a military officer recommends against jail for former Taliban captive Bowe Bergdahl, more info about why he left has been revealed
    • Oct 15, 2015

© 2016 Inlander
Website powered by Foundation